TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Danila Kvasov and Jan Hrazdil in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danila Kvasov' if Danila Kvasov advances against Jan Hrazdil. This market will resolve to 'Jan Hrazdil' if Jan Hrazdil advances against Danila Kvasov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Danila Kvasov and Jan Hrazdil in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danila Kvasov' if Danila Kvasov advances against Jan Hrazdil. This market will resolve to 'Jan Hrazdil' if Jan Hrazdil advances against Danila Kvasov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana match between Danila Kvasov and Jan Hrazdil. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the result and finalize the market settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself or even broader sporting events might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.