TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryan Lakshmanan and Makhmudbek Beknazarov in the M15 Fergana, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryan Lakshmanan' if Aryan Lakshmanan advances against Makhmudbek Beknazarov. This market will resolve to 'Makhmudbek Beknazarov' if Makhmudbek Beknazarov advances against Aryan Lakshmanan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryan Lakshmanan and Makhmudbek Beknazarov in the M15 Fergana, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryan Lakshmanan' if Aryan Lakshmanan advances against Makhmudbek Beknazarov. This market will resolve to 'Makhmudbek Beknazarov' if Makhmudbek Beknazarov advances against Aryan Lakshmanan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If prediction market participants believe a sportsbook has mispriced the match, they can take the opposite position, driving the odds on Polymarket towards what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or new information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana tennis match between Aryan Lakshmanan and Makhmudbek Beknazarov, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed participants could create short-term price movements, as others react to the new information or perceived advantage. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.