TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aristarkh Safonov and Sukhrob Saidov in the M15 Fergana, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aristarkh Safonov' if Aristarkh Safonov advances against Sukhrob Saidov. This market will resolve to 'Sukhrob Saidov' if Sukhrob Saidov advances against Aristarkh Safonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aristarkh Safonov and Sukhrob Saidov in the M15 Fergana, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aristarkh Safonov' if Aristarkh Safonov advances against Sukhrob Saidov. This market will resolve to 'Sukhrob Saidov' if Sukhrob Saidov advances against Aristarkh Safonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information they incorporate into their trading decisions, leading to a dynamic and evolving price discovery process.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Safonov vs Saidov match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the confirmed result of this competition.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their playing schedules could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or shifts in expert analysis, might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, reflecting changes in sentiment or strategic positioning among participants.