TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aristarkh Safonov and Amir Omarkhanov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aristarkh Safonov' if Aristarkh Safonov advances against Amir Omarkhanov. This market will resolve to 'Amir Omarkhanov' if Amir Omarkhanov advances against Aristarkh Safonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aristarkh Safonov and Amir Omarkhanov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aristarkh Safonov' if Aristarkh Safonov advances against Amir Omarkhanov. This market will resolve to 'Amir Omarkhanov' if Amir Omarkhanov advances against Aristarkh Safonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair probability of the outcome, and traders can capitalize on perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana match between Aristarkh Safonov and Amir Omarkhanov. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the match location or conditions could also cause shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, broader trends in the sport, or even general economic factors affecting betting activity, might play a role. Major upsets in similar matches leading up to the event could also influence traders’ expectations and drive price movements in this market.