TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Abdurakhmon Karimov and Dmitry Bessonov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Abdurakhmon Karimov' if Abdurakhmon Karimov advances against Dmitry Bessonov. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Bessonov' if Dmitry Bessonov advances against Abdurakhmon Karimov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Abdurakhmon Karimov and Dmitry Bessonov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Abdurakhmon Karimov' if Abdurakhmon Karimov advances against Dmitry Bessonov. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Bessonov' if Dmitry Bessonov advances against Abdurakhmon Karimov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If there’s a significant difference between the two, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome of the Karimov vs Bessonov match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome in the Karimov vs Bessonov match. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts, reflecting the changing collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates greater confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to traders.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karimov vs Bessonov match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, verifiable information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Abdurakhmon Karimov or Dmitry Bessonov, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in rankings, recent performance data, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concerns could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or rules could also cause shifts in trader sentiment, affecting the price of shares and the overall implied probability of each outcome.