TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Abdulaziz Usmonjonov and Calvin Mueller in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Abdulaziz Usmonjonov' if Abdulaziz Usmonjonov advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Abdulaziz Usmonjonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Abdulaziz Usmonjonov and Calvin Mueller in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Abdulaziz Usmonjonov' if Abdulaziz Usmonjonov advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Abdulaziz Usmonjonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana fight between Abdulaziz Usmonjonov and Calvin Mueller. This includes confirmation of the winner as declared by the official fight organizers. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected developments in their preparation could influence trader sentiment. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, as well as expert analysis from boxing commentators, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders—often referred to as “smart money”—can also cause noticeable price shifts. Keep an eye on these factors as the fight draws closer to understand potential movements in this market.