TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vardan Manukyan and Timo Rosenkranz Koenig in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vardan Manukyan' if Vardan Manukyan advances against Timo Rosenkranz Koenig. This market will resolve to 'Timo Rosenkranz Koenig' if Timo Rosenkranz Koenig advances against Vardan Manukyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vardan Manukyan and Timo Rosenkranz Koenig in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vardan Manukyan' if Vardan Manukyan advances against Timo Rosenkranz Koenig. This market will resolve to 'Timo Rosenkranz Koenig' if Timo Rosenkranz Koenig advances against Vardan Manukyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in events where public perception differs from expert opinion. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that neither source is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a continuously updated forecast for the Burgas tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vardan Manukyan versus Timo Rosenkranz Koenig tennis match in Burgas. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match, as reported by these sources.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all cause the odds to shift. Unexpected announcements about a player’s form or strategy could also significantly impact trading volume and price. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either player winning are likely to be reflected in the market, leading to price adjustments.