TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gima and Iannis Miletich in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Iannis Miletich. This market will resolve to 'Iannis Miletich' if Iannis Miletich advances against Sebastian Gima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gima and Iannis Miletich in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Iannis Miletich. This market will resolve to 'Iannis Miletich' if Iannis Miletich advances against Sebastian Gima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by informed traders expressing their beliefs about the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks might initially favor one player, the prediction market can quickly adjust based on new information or differing analyses, potentially offering more competitive odds for those who can accurately assess the players' chances.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Burgas tennis match between Sebastian Gima and Iannis Miletich, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event winner, and shares will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament for either Sebastian Gima or Iannis Miletich could also cause significant price movement. Furthermore, any expert analysis or public commentary suggesting a change in the players’ relative strengths could impact trading activity and, consequently, the odds in this market.