TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mihail Ivanov and Matei Marius Partal in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mihail Ivanov' if Mihail Ivanov advances against Matei Marius Partal. This market will resolve to 'Matei Marius Partal' if Matei Marius Partal advances against Mihail Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mihail Ivanov and Matei Marius Partal in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mihail Ivanov' if Mihail Ivanov advances against Matei Marius Partal. This market will resolve to 'Matei Marius Partal' if Matei Marius Partal advances against Mihail Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or varying levels of expertise among participants. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading in this market, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Burgas tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Burgas tennis match between Mihail Ivanov and Matei Marius Partal. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market perception, causing the price to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 11, 2026.