TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mihail Ivanov and Alexander Vasilev in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mihail Ivanov' if Mihail Ivanov advances against Alexander Vasilev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Vasilev' if Alexander Vasilev advances against Mihail Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mihail Ivanov and Alexander Vasilev in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mihail Ivanov' if Mihail Ivanov advances against Alexander Vasilev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Vasilev' if Alexander Vasilev advances against Mihail Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome of the Ivanov vs Vasilev match. This difference can arise from varying information sources, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions among bettors and prediction market participants. It’s important to consider both when forming your own assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ivanov vs Vasilev match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more sensitive the price becomes to new information and shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential result. Volume and open interest also play a role in price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ivanov vs Vasilev match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to note that the exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result confirmation.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the Ivanov vs Vasilev match could cause the odds to shift. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket can create short-term price movements, especially if they represent a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for informed trading decisions.