TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Bertimon and Aleksandar Tolev in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Bertimon' if Maxence Bertimon advances against Aleksandar Tolev. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Tolev' if Aleksandar Tolev advances against Maxence Bertimon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Bertimon and Aleksandar Tolev in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Bertimon' if Maxence Bertimon advances against Aleksandar Tolev. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Tolev' if Aleksandar Tolev advances against Maxence Bertimon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing or house biases into their odds, while this market relies on individuals directly wagering on the outcome. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as new data becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate assessment than traditional betting venues. Examining the difference can reveal insights into public perception versus expert analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Burgas tennis match between Maxence Bertimon and Aleksandar Tolev. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament for either player could also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause noticeable price movements, reflecting changes in perceived probabilities as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.