TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matei Florin Breazu and Giannicola Misasi in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matei Florin Breazu' if Matei Florin Breazu advances against Giannicola Misasi. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Matei Florin Breazu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matei Florin Breazu and Giannicola Misasi in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matei Florin Breazu' if Matei Florin Breazu advances against Giannicola Misasi. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Matei Florin Breazu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market is driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgas tennis match between Matei Florin Breazu and Giannicola Misasi. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions affecting gameplay, or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.