TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kupcic and George Lazarov in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kupcic' if Jan Kupcic advances against George Lazarov. This market will resolve to 'George Lazarov' if George Lazarov advances against Jan Kupcic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kupcic and George Lazarov in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kupcic' if Jan Kupcic advances against George Lazarov. This market will resolve to 'George Lazarov' if George Lazarov advances against Jan Kupcic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate new information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. Comparing these odds can reveal interesting insights into public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Burgas match between Jan Kupcic and George Lazarov. Any official sources reporting the match’s final result will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 17, 2026. News regarding player injuries or changes in form for either Jan Kupcic or George Lazarov would likely cause significant movement. Any updates on playing conditions or tactical approaches could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as rule changes or venue adjustments, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and drive price changes in this market. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential market movements.