TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Laborde and David Popa in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Laborde' if Arthur Laborde advances against David Popa. This market will resolve to 'David Popa' if David Popa advances against Arthur Laborde. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Laborde and David Popa in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Laborde' if Arthur Laborde advances against David Popa. This market will resolve to 'David Popa' if David Popa advances against Arthur Laborde. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Laborde vs Popa match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Laborde vs Popa match as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match results to understand how this market will be settled. The final result will determine which outcome is considered the winner.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Laborde vs Popa match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic adjustments could also contribute to price movements. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and impact the market’s pricing. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in expectations.