TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 3:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Danial Spasov in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Danial Spasov. This market will resolve to 'Danial Spasov' if Danial Spasov advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Danial Spasov in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Danial Spasov. This market will resolve to 'Danial Spasov' if Danial Spasov advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market, making it a dynamic representation of expectations for the Burgas tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgas tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Danial Spasov, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match, and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. For example, reports of an injury to one of the players would likely cause a significant movement in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Burgas could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could also create noticeable price swings as the market adjusts to new information or sentiment.