TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Tolev and Mattia Nannelli in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Tolev' if Aleksandar Tolev advances against Mattia Nannelli. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Nannelli' if Mattia Nannelli advances against Aleksandar Tolev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Tolev and Mattia Nannelli in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Tolev' if Aleksandar Tolev advances against Mattia Nannelli. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Nannelli' if Mattia Nannelli advances against Aleksandar Tolev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or unexpected developments than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Burgas tennis match between Aleksandar Tolev and Mattia Nannelli. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, head-to-head records, or even weather forecasts for the match location could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected upsets in other related tournaments could also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess player capabilities.