TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Mitev and Giannicola Misasi in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Mitev' if Aleksandar Mitev advances against Giannicola Misasi. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Aleksandar Mitev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Mitev and Giannicola Misasi in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Mitev' if Aleksandar Mitev advances against Giannicola Misasi. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Aleksandar Mitev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides of a bet and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sources. Discrepancies may arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different interpretation of the available data. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Mitev vs Misasi match. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. Higher volume generally suggests greater agreement, while price fluctuations signal uncertainty or the incorporation of new information.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mitev vs Misasi match, as declared by the governing tennis authority. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to established tennis regulations. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match and finalize the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Mitev vs Misasi match might also impact the perceived likelihood of either player winning. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can also play a role, particularly if it deviates from initial assessments. Any significant developments related to the players or the tournament could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.