TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between ADRIAN CONSTANTIN and Benedikt Szerencsits in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'ADRIAN CONSTANTIN' if ADRIAN CONSTANTIN advances against Benedikt Szerencsits. This market will resolve to 'Benedikt Szerencsits' if Benedikt Szerencsits advances against ADRIAN CONSTANTIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between ADRIAN CONSTANTIN and Benedikt Szerencsits in the M15 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'ADRIAN CONSTANTIN' if ADRIAN CONSTANTIN advances against Benedikt Szerencsits. This market will resolve to 'Benedikt Szerencsits' if Benedikt Szerencsits advances against ADRIAN CONSTANTIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure a profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, representing their assessment of the probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust based on betting patterns, potentially converging with the prediction market's price as more information becomes available and public sentiment shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can reflect a wider range of information and perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Burgas tennis match between Adrian Constantin and Benedikt Szerencsits, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player will determine the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the result against established tennis data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over another. Furthermore, changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could impact trading activity. A strong performance by either player in a preceding round of the tournament would likely cause a movement in the market as well.