TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vuk Radjenovic and Marko Nikolic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:04AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Radjenovic' if Vuk Radjenovic advances against Marko Nikolic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Nikolic' if Marko Nikolic advances against Vuk Radjenovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vuk Radjenovic and Marko Nikolic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:04AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Radjenovic' if Vuk Radjenovic advances against Marko Nikolic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Nikolic' if Marko Nikolic advances against Vuk Radjenovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. The price of a 'Yes' share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, while the price of a 'No' share represents the probability of the opposite outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Radjenovic vs Nikolic match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Radjenovic vs Nikolic match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome – a win for Radjenovic or a win for Nikolic – is the correct one, and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or scheduling changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.