TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vuk Radjenovic and Felix Romeo in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Radjenovic' if Vuk Radjenovic advances against Felix Romeo. This market will resolve to 'Felix Romeo' if Felix Romeo advances against Vuk Radjenovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vuk Radjenovic and Felix Romeo in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Radjenovic' if Vuk Radjenovic advances against Felix Romeo. This market will resolve to 'Felix Romeo' if Felix Romeo advances against Vuk Radjenovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. These differences can arise from varying information access, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Radjenovic vs Romeo match. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor reputable sports news outlets for the official result, as this will be the basis for settlement. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by the event itself, not by any subjective judgment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also impact trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, especially if there's a strong bias towards one player. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess their probabilities.