TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vuk Radjenovic and Alexander Ushakov in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Radjenovic' if Vuk Radjenovic advances against Alexander Ushakov. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Ushakov' if Alexander Ushakov advances against Vuk Radjenovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vuk Radjenovic and Alexander Ushakov in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Radjenovic' if Vuk Radjenovic advances against Alexander Ushakov. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Ushakov' if Alexander Ushakov advances against Vuk Radjenovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other markets. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system for the Radjenovic vs Ushakov match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the M15 Bol match between Vuk Radjenovic and Alexander Ushakov, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments might also have an impact. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts could also sway opinions, leading to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move the market on Polymarket.