TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeriy Martishev and Andrea Paolini in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeriy Martishev' if Valeriy Martishev advances against Andrea Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Valeriy Martishev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeriy Martishev and Andrea Paolini in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeriy Martishev' if Valeriy Martishev advances against Andrea Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Valeriy Martishev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is influenced by new information and shifts in sentiment among traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Martishev vs Paolini match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the event is unfolding.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the condition of either Valeriy Martishev or Andrea Paolini, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, analysis of their recent performance, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or changes to the match schedule could also lead to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and reassess probabilities.