TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Toprak Avcibasi and Alessio Vasquez in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toprak Avcibasi' if Toprak Avcibasi advances against Alessio Vasquez. This market will resolve to 'Alessio Vasquez' if Alessio Vasquez advances against Toprak Avcibasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Toprak Avcibasi and Alessio Vasquez in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toprak Avcibasi' if Toprak Avcibasi advances against Alessio Vasquez. This market will resolve to 'Alessio Vasquez' if Alessio Vasquez advances against Toprak Avcibasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on the Polymarket platform, offering a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Toprak Avcibasi vs Alessio Vasquez match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will look to official sources to verify the final result and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements regarding the match to stay informed about the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about either Toprak Avcibasi or Alessio Vasquez’s form, strategies, or potential participation could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term volatility and shifts in the implied probabilities.