TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Rosenkranz Koenig and Marko Bekeni in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Rosenkranz Koenig' if Timo Rosenkranz Koenig advances against Marko Bekeni. This market will resolve to 'Marko Bekeni' if Marko Bekeni advances against Timo Rosenkranz Koenig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Rosenkranz Koenig and Marko Bekeni in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Rosenkranz Koenig' if Timo Rosenkranz Koenig advances against Marko Bekeni. This market will resolve to 'Marko Bekeni' if Marko Bekeni advances against Timo Rosenkranz Koenig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing levels of information or confidence in a particular outcome. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes aggregate information more efficiently, leading to more accurate predictions than traditional sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price, and vice versa, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Bol match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Timo Rosenkranz Koenig versus Marko Bekeni Bol match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or strategic changes could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also impact the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Ultimately, any development that alters the perceived probability of either player winning could move this market.