TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tarik Bajrovic and Sergio Planella Hernandez in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tarik Bajrovic' if Tarik Bajrovic advances against Sergio Planella Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Sergio Planella Hernandez' if Sergio Planella Hernandez advances against Tarik Bajrovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tarik Bajrovic and Sergio Planella Hernandez in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tarik Bajrovic' if Tarik Bajrovic advances against Sergio Planella Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Sergio Planella Hernandez' if Sergio Planella Hernandez advances against Tarik Bajrovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match's potential result. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tarik Bajrovic vs Sergio Planella Hernandez match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all move the market. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants or groups could cause short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a change in perceived probability based on new information or strategic positioning.