TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Sergej Topic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Sergej Topic. This market will resolve to 'Sergej Topic' if Sergej Topic advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Sergej Topic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Sergej Topic. This market will resolve to 'Sergej Topic' if Sergej Topic advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sergi Fita vs. Topic match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome will be declared the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes trigger follow-on buying or selling, amplifying the effect of initial information. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is likely to evolve before Oct 25, 2026.