TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Marko Knezevic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Marko Knezevic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Knezevic' if Marko Knezevic advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Marko Knezevic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Marko Knezevic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Knezevic' if Marko Knezevic advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa, creating a dynamic and responsive market. This process allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sergi Fita Juan vs Marko Knezevic match as reported by recognized sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the basis for resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates for either Sergi Fita Juan or Marko Knezevic could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact the probabilities. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the players' chances of winning could also lead to noticeable movements in the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.