TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Piotr Galus and Dan Saric in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Galus' if Piotr Galus advances against Dan Saric. This market will resolve to 'Dan Saric' if Dan Saric advances against Piotr Galus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Piotr Galus and Dan Saric in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Galus' if Piotr Galus advances against Dan Saric. This market will resolve to 'Dan Saric' if Dan Saric advances against Piotr Galus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on it, offering a unique perspective on the Galus vs Saric match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Galus vs Saric match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews could all shift perceptions of each fighter’s chances. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s conditions, such as a late venue change or alterations to the rules, could also impact the market. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role in driving price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.