TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Piet Luis Pinter and Aleksandar Lavrnja in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:03AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piet Luis Pinter' if Piet Luis Pinter advances against Aleksandar Lavrnja. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Lavrnja' if Aleksandar Lavrnja advances against Piet Luis Pinter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Piet Luis Pinter and Aleksandar Lavrnja in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:03AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piet Luis Pinter' if Piet Luis Pinter advances against Aleksandar Lavrnja. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Lavrnja' if Aleksandar Lavrnja advances against Piet Luis Pinter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the event. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pinter vs Lavrnja match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. The exact payout will depend on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could move the odds. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments in the match will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.