TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrik Homola and Ryan Zuberbuehler in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrik Homola' if Patrik Homola advances against Ryan Zuberbuehler. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Zuberbuehler' if Ryan Zuberbuehler advances against Patrik Homola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrik Homola and Ryan Zuberbuehler in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrik Homola' if Patrik Homola advances against Ryan Zuberbuehler. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Zuberbuehler' if Ryan Zuberbuehler advances against Patrik Homola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bol fight between Patrik Homola and Ryan Zuberbuehler, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight commentary from analysts could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes in weight class or reported health concerns, could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily alter the price, reflecting their strong conviction about the likely outcome of the Homola vs Zuberbuehler match.