TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrik Homola and Alessio Basile in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrik Homola' if Patrik Homola advances against Alessio Basile. This market will resolve to 'Alessio Basile' if Alessio Basile advances against Patrik Homola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrik Homola and Alessio Basile in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrik Homola' if Patrik Homola advances against Alessio Basile. This market will resolve to 'Alessio Basile' if Alessio Basile advances against Patrik Homola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Homola vs Basile match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the collective forecast of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Homola vs Basile match as declared by the governing sporting body. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the standard procedures of that organization. The platform will then verify the outcome and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to winning share holders.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions could all impact perceptions of the Homola vs Basile match. Unexpected announcements or statements from either athlete or their teams could also trigger movement. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might lead traders to adjust their positions, altering the price of shares and reflecting a changing forecast.