TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Lopez and Vaal Urankar in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Lopez' if Noah Lopez advances against Vaal Urankar. This market will resolve to 'Vaal Urankar' if Vaal Urankar advances against Noah Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Lopez and Vaal Urankar in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Lopez' if Noah Lopez advances against Vaal Urankar. This market will resolve to 'Vaal Urankar' if Vaal Urankar advances against Noah Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's liquidity, currently at a volume of $5, influences how efficiently prices respond to new data related to the Lopez vs Urankar match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lopez vs Urankar match as reported by the governing sports body. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader tournament dynamics might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market related to the Lopez vs Urankar match.