TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Lopez and Maksim Despotovic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Lopez' if Noah Lopez advances against Maksim Despotovic. This market will resolve to 'Maksim Despotovic' if Maksim Despotovic advances against Noah Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Lopez and Maksim Despotovic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Lopez' if Noah Lopez advances against Maksim Despotovic. This market will resolve to 'Maksim Despotovic' if Maksim Despotovic advances against Noah Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders exchange shares, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating increased confidence.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lopez vs Despotovic match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or tactical adjustments announced by either Lopez or Despotovic could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in related matches, or even broader shifts in public perception of the athletes’ form, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major upsets in similar competitions could cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price fluctuations.