TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Lopez and Karlo Kajin in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Lopez' if Noah Lopez advances against Karlo Kajin. This market will resolve to 'Karlo Kajin' if Karlo Kajin advances against Noah Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Lopez and Karlo Kajin in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Lopez' if Noah Lopez advances against Karlo Kajin. This market will resolve to 'Karlo Kajin' if Karlo Kajin advances against Noah Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professionals, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lopez vs Kajin fight, as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or pre-fight weigh-in results could significantly impact sentiment. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis, could also play a role. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and influence trading volume on Polymarket. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.