TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Mashtakov and Aljaz Jeran in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Aljaz Jeran. This market will resolve to 'Aljaz Jeran' if Aljaz Jeran advances against Nikita Mashtakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Mashtakov and Aljaz Jeran in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Aljaz Jeran. This market will resolve to 'Aljaz Jeran' if Aljaz Jeran advances against Nikita Mashtakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. Observing these differences can reveal potential arbitrage opportunities or highlight areas where the market believes sportsbooks may have mispriced the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mashtakov vs Jeran match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor official announcements as the event approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports experts, particularly those with a strong track record, might also influence the market. Major shifts in betting volume, even without specific news, can indicate informed traders taking positions. Finally, any controversies or rule changes related to the match itself could introduce uncertainty and volatility, causing the probabilities to fluctuate until resolution.