TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nico Hipfl and Deney Wassermann in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nico Hipfl' if Nico Hipfl advances against Deney Wassermann. This market will resolve to 'Deney Wassermann' if Deney Wassermann advances against Nico Hipfl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nico Hipfl and Deney Wassermann in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nico Hipfl' if Nico Hipfl advances against Deney Wassermann. This market will resolve to 'Deney Wassermann' if Deney Wassermann advances against Nico Hipfl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into where the crowd disagrees with experts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This allows for a fluid adjustment of probabilities as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nico Hipfl vs Deney Wassermann match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical approaches could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might influence perceptions of player capabilities and impact the market. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's price before Oct 21, 2026.