TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nico Hipfl and Bozo Barun in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nico Hipfl' if Nico Hipfl advances against Bozo Barun. This market will resolve to 'Bozo Barun' if Bozo Barun advances against Nico Hipfl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nico Hipfl and Bozo Barun in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nico Hipfl' if Nico Hipfl advances against Bozo Barun. This market will resolve to 'Bozo Barun' if Bozo Barun advances against Nico Hipfl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate differing levels of information or varying interpretations of the players’ strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the match’s likely result. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to changing conditions and available data regarding the players.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nico Hipfl vs Bozo Barun match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. Any disputes or official rulings regarding the match will be considered in determining the final outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or any updates on the players’ recent performance could all impact the perceived likelihood of either player winning. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analyses from tennis experts might sway trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market.