TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Bertimon and Marko Savija in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Bertimon' if Maxence Bertimon advances against Marko Savija. This market will resolve to 'Marko Savija' if Marko Savija advances against Maxence Bertimon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Bertimon and Marko Savija in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Bertimon' if Maxence Bertimon advances against Marko Savija. This market will resolve to 'Marko Savija' if Marko Savija advances against Maxence Bertimon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade their view. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, particularly as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bol match between Maxence Bertimon and Marko Savija. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, focusing on establishing the definitive outcome as reported by trusted sources. Traders should monitor official announcements regarding the match to understand the basis for resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major upsets in similar tournaments or shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis could all contribute to movements in the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.