TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 12:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthias Ujvary and Alan Wazny in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthias Ujvary' if Matthias Ujvary advances against Alan Wazny. This market will resolve to 'Alan Wazny' if Alan Wazny advances against Matthias Ujvary. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthias Ujvary and Alan Wazny in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthias Ujvary' if Matthias Ujvary advances against Alan Wazny. This market will resolve to 'Alan Wazny' if Alan Wazny advances against Matthias Ujvary. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on modeling and public betting patterns, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Frequently, you'll find that prediction market probabilities align with sportsbook odds, but divergences can occur as new information emerges or as different groups weigh factors differently. Analyzing these differences can be valuable when forming your own opinion on the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Currently, the market is driven by the activity of informed traders who are actively assessing the potential for either player to win the match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Ujvary vs Wazny match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player’s camp could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the event could also influence the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in related events or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential shifts in the implied probability of each outcome.