TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matic Hribar and Sergio Planella Hernandez in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matic Hribar' if Matic Hribar advances against Sergio Planella Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Sergio Planella Hernandez' if Sergio Planella Hernandez advances against Matic Hribar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matic Hribar and Sergio Planella Hernandez in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matic Hribar' if Matic Hribar advances against Sergio Planella Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Sergio Planella Hernandez' if Sergio Planella Hernandez advances against Matic Hribar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Hribar vs Planella Hernandez match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event's progress and potential impact on this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or updates on player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the players' strategies or potential tactical shifts could also drive trading volume. Furthermore, broader shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the match’s likely outcome could contribute to changes in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.