TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Sabanov and Sergio Planella Hernandez in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:04PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Sabanov' if Matej Sabanov advances against Sergio Planella Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Sergio Planella Hernandez' if Sergio Planella Hernandez advances against Matej Sabanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Sabanov and Sergio Planella Hernandez in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:04PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Sabanov' if Matej Sabanov advances against Sergio Planella Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Sergio Planella Hernandez' if Sergio Planella Hernandez advances against Matej Sabanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Sabanov vs Hernandez match. This creates a constantly updated forecast based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabanov vs Hernandez match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis rankings, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.