TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Sabanov and Bozo Barun in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Sabanov' if Matej Sabanov advances against Bozo Barun. This market will resolve to 'Bozo Barun' if Bozo Barun advances against Matej Sabanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Sabanov and Bozo Barun in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Sabanov' if Matej Sabanov advances against Bozo Barun. This market will resolve to 'Bozo Barun' if Bozo Barun advances against Matej Sabanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of participants. If significant differences emerge between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate opportunities for value betting, though it’s crucial to consider the limitations of both approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sabanov vs Barun match, and the price of these shares dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of each player winning. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating greater confidence in that result.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabanov vs Barun match, as reported by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player secured victory and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in collective belief.