TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Savija and Tarik Bajrovic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Savija' if Marko Savija advances against Tarik Bajrovic. This market will resolve to 'Tarik Bajrovic' if Tarik Bajrovic advances against Marko Savija. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Savija and Tarik Bajrovic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Savija' if Marko Savija advances against Tarik Bajrovic. This market will resolve to 'Tarik Bajrovic' if Tarik Bajrovic advances against Marko Savija. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information or adjust to changing sentiment surrounding an event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Savija vs Bajrovic match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to the latest developments and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Savija vs Bajrovic match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments leading up to the Savija vs Bajrovic match could cause the odds to shift. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might affect traders' perceptions of each player's form and potential for success, leading to adjustments in the market price.