TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Savija and Andrea Paolini in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Savija' if Marko Savija advances against Andrea Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Marko Savija. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Savija and Andrea Paolini in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Savija' if Marko Savija advances against Andrea Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Marko Savija. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Savija vs Paolini match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates the collective expectation of who will win the match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Savija vs Paolini match will be used to determine the winning share. Resolution will depend on official match results published by governing tennis bodies. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in prior matches or changes in player form are also likely to move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.