TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Nikolic and Nik Mikovic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Nikolic' if Marko Nikolic advances against Nik Mikovic. This market will resolve to 'Nik Mikovic' if Nik Mikovic advances against Marko Nikolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Nikolic and Nik Mikovic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Nikolic' if Marko Nikolic advances against Nik Mikovic. This market will resolve to 'Nik Mikovic' if Nik Mikovic advances against Marko Nikolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market participants possess information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines, or simply have differing opinions on the probabilities. It’s a valuable comparison for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment regarding the Nikolic vs Mikovic match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nikolic vs Mikovic match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the athletes’ preparation could shift trader sentiment. Additionally, significant betting activity from well-informed traders, or even public endorsements, can impact the market. Broadly, any information that alters the perceived probability of either athlete winning the match has the potential to move the market price, creating opportunities for traders to react to new data.