TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 9:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Nikolic and Ivan Biletic in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Nikolic' if Marko Nikolic advances against Ivan Biletic. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Biletic' if Ivan Biletic advances against Marko Nikolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Nikolic and Ivan Biletic in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Nikolic' if Marko Nikolic advances against Ivan Biletic. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Biletic' if Ivan Biletic advances against Marko Nikolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders buying and selling contracts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If significant differences exist between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may emerge, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nikolic vs Biletic match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who hold contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments related to the Nikolic vs Biletic match could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage, expert analysis, or public opinion polls could also impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the match’s outcome could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.