TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristian Tumbas Kajgo and Sergej Topic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristian Tumbas Kajgo' if Kristian Tumbas Kajgo advances against Sergej Topic. This market will resolve to 'Sergej Topic' if Sergej Topic advances against Kristian Tumbas Kajgo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristian Tumbas Kajgo and Sergej Topic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristian Tumbas Kajgo' if Kristian Tumbas Kajgo advances against Sergej Topic. This market will resolve to 'Sergej Topic' if Sergej Topic advances against Kristian Tumbas Kajgo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Tumbas vs Topic match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand—the more people believe an outcome will happen, the higher the share price will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tumbas vs Topic match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Kristian Tumbas Kajgo or Sergej Topic, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception or expert analysis regarding their chances of winning could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility. Monitoring these types of signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.