TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kirils Sokolovs and Aleksandar Lavrnja in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kirils Sokolovs' if Kirils Sokolovs advances against Aleksandar Lavrnja. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Lavrnja' if Aleksandar Lavrnja advances against Kirils Sokolovs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kirils Sokolovs and Aleksandar Lavrnja in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kirils Sokolovs' if Kirils Sokolovs advances against Aleksandar Lavrnja. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Lavrnja' if Aleksandar Lavrnja advances against Kirils Sokolovs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, with the platform ensuring that the total probability across all outcomes sums to 100%. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bol tennis match between Kirils Sokolovs and Aleksandar Lavrnja. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets, to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also play a role. Significant betting volume from informed traders could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting their assessment of the players' chances in the Sokolovs vs Lavrnja match.