TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kevin Pabisiak and Pietro Ricci in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kevin Pabisiak' if Kevin Pabisiak advances against Pietro Ricci. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Ricci' if Pietro Ricci advances against Kevin Pabisiak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kevin Pabisiak and Pietro Ricci in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kevin Pabisiak' if Kevin Pabisiak advances against Pietro Ricci. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Ricci' if Pietro Ricci advances against Kevin Pabisiak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket and doesn't incorporate external factors or opinions from other sources.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pabisiak vs Ricci match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact the market. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential price movements in this market.