TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaspar Mathes and Facundo Yunis in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaspar Mathes' if Kaspar Mathes advances against Facundo Yunis. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Yunis' if Facundo Yunis advances against Kaspar Mathes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaspar Mathes and Facundo Yunis in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaspar Mathes' if Kaspar Mathes advances against Facundo Yunis. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Yunis' if Facundo Yunis advances against Kaspar Mathes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, creating a dynamic price that responds to new information and changing sentiment. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price, and therefore the greater the implied probability. This creates a market-driven forecast for the Kaspar Mathes vs Facundo Yunis match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kaspar Mathes vs Facundo Yunis match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about player fitness or tactical adjustments would be key catalysts. Additionally, expert analysis and updated rankings could also impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in related matches or changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.